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Total 29 results found since Jan 2013.
Did Mitigation Save Two Million Lives?
Alan ReynoldsIn the April 16 White House briefing, President Trump again said, as he often has before, that “models predicted between 1.5 and 2.2 million deaths” if we had not endured the various economic shutdowns imposed by the Governors of 42 States. The severity and breadth of those statewide shutdowns was initially encouraged, and is now justified, by just one dramatic statistic. That number was the 2.2 million U.S. deaths supposedly at risk from COVID-19.The famed 2.2 million estimate first reached viral status in the March 31 White House briefing by Doctors Anthony Fauci and Deborah Birx. They displayed a grap...
Source: Cato-at-liberty - April 17, 2020 Category: American Health Authors: Alan Reynolds Source Type: blogs
How One Model Simulated 2.2 Million U.S. Deaths from COVID-19
Alan ReynoldsWhen it came to dealing with an unexpected surge in infections and deaths from SARS-CoV-2 (the virus causing COVID-19 symptoms), federal and state policymakers understandably sought guidance from competing epidemiological computer models. On March 16, a 20-page report from Neil Ferguson ' s team at Imperial College London quickly gathered enormous attention by producing enormous death estimates. Dr. Ferguson had previously publicized almost equallysensational death estimates from mad cow disease, bird flu and swine flu.The New York Times quickly ran the hot news about this new COVID-19 estimate:The report, whi...
Source: Cato-at-liberty - April 21, 2020 Category: American Health Authors: Alan Reynolds Source Type: blogs
Fear of a Gold Planet
Proposed nominees Stephen Moore and Herman Cain having dropped out of contention, discussion continues over the Trump administration ’s possible next nomination to the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors. The views of the latest candidate under consideration by the administration, Judy Shelton, have revived a question that commentators raised earlier about Moore and Cain: Should favoring some kind of gold standard disqualify a nominee from occupying one of seven seats on the Board? Here let me disclose that I worked with Judy Shelton on the Atlas Economic Research Foundation’s Sound Money Project. But the argument t...
Source: Cato-at-liberty - June 4, 2019 Category: American Health Authors: Lawrence H. White Source Type: blogs
Eppie
I ' ve considered writing about Jeffrey Epstein for a long time, but I kept expecting more information about the sordid case to be forthcoming from the Southern District of New York. So far however we have seen no additional indictments or any investigative report. This surprises many people because there are strong indications that there is ample basis for additional indictments, despite Epstein ' s death. I ' ll get to that.I don ' t have any information to add to what is publicly known, obviously, but many people don ' t fully understand the story and the mysteries connected with it, so I figured I ' d provide a summary...
Source: Stayin' Alive - November 6, 2019 Category: American Health Source Type: blogs
To moth or not to moth? That is the question
I had a discussion recently with a former moth-er who disposed of her trap after having an ethical pang of conscience about all the moths she had been disturbing over the years. She suggested that there are hundreds of thousands of people trapping all over the country and that we’re interfering with reproduction cycles by doing so. I felt her opinion was at best misguided.
My immediate thought was that that number was way off. I know two other people in this village of 7000 or so who trap regularly, as do I, but this is quite a sciencey village, close to Cambridge, so could be exceptional. There’d have to be 3-...
Source: David Bradley Sciencebase - Songs, Snaps, Science - June 7, 2019 Category: Science Authors: David Bradley Tags: Sciencebase Source Type: blogs
Bernard L. Ginsborg (1925 – 2018). A tribute.
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If you are not a pharmacologist or physiologist, you may never have heard of Bernard Ginsborg. I first met him in 1960. He was a huge influence on me and a great friend. I’m publishing this here because the Physiological Society has published only a brief obituary.
Bernard with his wife, Andy (Andrina).
You can download the following documents.
Biography written by one of his daughters, Jane Ginsborg.
Bernard’s scientific work, written by Donald H. Jenkinson (who knew him from his time in Bernard Katz’s Department of Biophysics).
A tribute by Randall House, who collaborated with Berna...
Source: DC's goodscience - November 2, 2018 Category: Science Authors: David Colquhoun Tags: Uncategorized Source Type: blogs
The Macro View – Health, Economics, and Politics and the Big Picture. What I Am Watching Here And Abroad.
June 09, 2022 Edition-----The Russian war on Ukraine is now well over 100 days old. The destruction and deaths are just awful and the world is being seriously re-shaped. Where this ends is unknowable but unlikely to be good.In the US we are seeing almost daily mass shootings and no-one seems to know what to do. Just pathetic.In the UK the hangover is slowly lifting after the 4 day royal celebration.In OZ we are having an energy crisis which we hope we will find solutions for soon!-----Major Issues.------https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/economics/australias-labor-government-faces-a-whole-new-economic-ball-game/news...
Source: Australian Health Information Technology - June 9, 2022 Category: Information Technology Authors: Dr David G More MB PhD Source Type: blogs
Roger McNamee ’s Facebook Critique
In a recentTimemagazine article,Roger McNamee offers an agitated criticism of Facebook, adapted from his bookZucked: Waking Up to the Facebook Catastrophe. Facebook “has a huge impact on politics and social welfare,” he claims, and “has done things that are truly horrible.” Facebook, he says, is “terrible for America. ”McNamee suggests his “history with the company made me a credible voice.” From 2005 to 2015, McNamee was one of a half dozen managing directors of Elevation Partners, an $1.9 billion private equity firm that bought and sold shares in eight companies, including such oldies asForbes and P...
Source: Cato-at-liberty - February 18, 2019 Category: American Health Authors: Alan Reynolds Source Type: blogs
The Prospects of Behavioral Genetics: Bad Genes Behind Crimes, Precision Education And Loosing Free Will?
Can the “warrior gene” explain aggressive and violent
acts so that lawyers base their defenses on that in courts? Can genetics
determine whether your marriage will be a long-lasting companionship? What
about alcoholism, depression or autism? To what extent are we the product of
our environment or the expression of our genes? While the nature versus nurture
debate has been ongoing for centuries, the recent advances in genetics and
genomics seem to shift the balance towards inheritance rather than the effect
of our surroundings. We looked around whether it is justified, especially when
it comes to its use in legal disput...
Source: The Medical Futurist - March 9, 2019 Category: Information Technology Authors: nora Tags: Bioethics Future of Medicine Genomics bioethical crime DNA dna testing genes genetics Innovation legal philosophy technology Source Type: blogs
A year of mothing
It’s a year to the day since I first got bitten by the mothing bug, as it were. Initially, it was all about seeing what turned up at the scientific trap and trying to get a photo or two of anything interesting. I did keep a record of new species and I think had logged and photographed approximately 130 of the 2600 or so species we see in the British Isles by the end of the long, hot summer of 2018 and into the winter.
Canary-shouldered Thorn, first one of 2019 for me
I kept on lighting up until well into December in the vain hope of spotting some of the late autumn and early winter moths with marvellous names such as...
Source: David Bradley Sciencebase - Songs, Snaps, Science - July 25, 2019 Category: Science Authors: David Bradley Tags: Moths Source Type: blogs
Has the Federal Government Preserved U.S. Shipbuilding Vitality? Or Sapped it?
Colin GrabowA recentNew York Timesfeature about the construction of containerships contains the following passage regarding the state of the U.S. shipbuilding industry:In the United States, large shipyards have been on the decline for decades, losing out on orders for massive commercial ships to cheaper foreign competition. Today, more than 90 percent of global shipbuilding takes place in just three countries: China, South Korea and Japan. What industry does remain in the United States is supported by the federal government, which orders American ‐made ships of all kinds, from Coast Guard cutters to naval aircraft car...
Source: Cato-at-liberty - June 25, 2020 Category: American Health Authors: Colin Grabow Source Type: blogs
