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Infectious Disease: Epidemics
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Total 36 results found since Jan 2013.
Scoring epidemiological forecasts on transformed scales
by Nikos I. Bosse, Sam Abbott, Anne Cori, Edwin van Leeuwen, Johannes Bracher, Sebastian Funk
Forecast evaluation is essential for the development of predictive epidemic models and can inform their use for public health decision-making. Common scores to evaluate epidemiological forecasts are the Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) and the Weighted Interval Score (WIS), which can be seen as measures of the absolute distance between the forecast distribution and the observation. However, applying these scores directly to predicted and observed incidence counts may not be the most appropriate due to the exponential na...
Source: PLoS Computational Biology - August 29, 2023 Category: Biology Authors: Nikos I. Bosse Source Type: research
Greater COVID-19 Severity and Mortality in Hospitalized Patients in the Delta-phase Compared to the Others: A Single Center Prospective Registry
CONCLUSION: This study shows that COVID-19 patients that were hospitalized in the second (delta) phase of the epidemic had more severe disease compared to the first and third phases. In the second phase of patients, there was a significantly higher duration of hospitalization, ICU hospitalization, greater oxygen requirement, noninvasive and invasive ventilatory support, and more deaths.PMID:37449685 | DOI:10.59556/japi.71.0293
Source: Journal of the Association of Physicians of India - July 14, 2023 Category: General Medicine Authors: Raghubir S Khedar Rajeev Gupta Kartik Mittal Alok Mathur Jugal B Gupta Yogendra Singh Swati Sharma Krishna K Sharma Source Type: research
